Weekly Covid-19 (Video) Update

I finally got around to a video update this week. In it, I briefly discuss the overall trends in our spring Covid rise, and then I touch on the 5 Covid moments that defined various stages of the pandemic. No doubt there are more than 5, and others might choose different moments/periods for their top-5 lists. But these moments, for me, largely capture the flow of the pandemic over the last 2+ years. I’ve listed them in chronological order, not in order of importance.

For those who don’t want to watch the video, I’ve included the data below.

Overall Trends

(Video 0:00-2:27)

Top 5 Key Covid Moments

1. NBA Cancels Season (2:28-3:22)

2. Data Illiteracy in the Media (3:23-4:58)

3. Vaccines Arrive (4:59-6:07)

4. Provincetown and Delta (6:08-7:24)

5. NPIs and Mandates → All Throttle, No Vector (7:25-9:51)

US Covid-19 Data

Cases (7-day Average, CDC Data)

• Current: 56,166 (4/29/2022)

• Last Week: 44,234 (+27.0%)

• Notes and Trends

  • Down 93.0% from winter wave peak, but up 126.1% from recent trough

  • Up 9.2% from the same day last year

Positive Testing Percentage (7-day Average, CDC Data)

• Current: 6.83% (4/28/2022)

• Last Week: 5.43% (+25.8%)

• Notes and Trends

  • Down 76.9% from winter wave peak, but up 223.7% from recent trough

  • Up 55.9% from the same day last year

  • Note that last week was initially 6.16% per CDC, but has now revised down to 5.43% (recent % positive data can show up high until testing gets reported)

Hospitalization Census (HHS Data)

• Current: 17,104 (5/2/2022)

• Last Week: 15,642 (+9.3%)

• Notes and Trends

  • Down 89.4% from the winter wave peak, but up 18.4% from recent trough

  • Down 56.2% from the same day last year

ICU Census (HHS Data)

• Current: 1,552 (5/2/2022)

• Last Week: 1,410 (+10.1%)

• Notes and Trends

  • Down 94.1% from the winter wave peak, but up 10.1% from recent trough

  • Down 85.1% from the same day last year

Deaths (7-day Average, CDC Data)

• Current: 308 (4/29/2022)

• Last Week: 340 (-9.4%)

• Notes and Trends

  • Down 88.5% from the recent wave peak

  • Down 53.0% from the same day last year

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